Flight, tandem, continuity and transition
It seems that the May 2022 election promises to be a runaway campaign for a tandem that was formed very late and was hampered by political somersaults that did not allow the tandem to move. Interestingly, the individuals of the tandem get majority support and huge crowds in every trailer and meet that virtually sealed the deal for the tandem. The pre-campaign clearly defined the boundaries and limits. And we hope to see consistency, continuity and creativity, the essentials of political campaigns when we reach February 2022, the start of the campaign period.
On their own, Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. (BBM) and Sara Duterte-Carpio (SDC) are the heirs presumptive to their determined fathers. From different generations, BBM and SDC combine different beliefs, gender and age, education level and work experience. Both have served local governments. Marcos brings national exposure as a senator / decision maker into the equation. But more than that, being the children of strong leaders gives them a unique perspective on history and governance, which hopefully can be used to put energy into a platform that reflects. the beliefs of their fathers, the continuity of what worked and the disruption to create their own ripples of transformation over the six years of their tenure.
The runaway is about the odds of preference for both, breaking through the 50 percent barrier. If the trajectory continues, both will be the first elected post-EDSA leaders to obtain a majority of the votes. The trajectory of SDC could be superior to that of Marcos because it is the embodiment of the Filipinos who thank the work of the PRRD. They will express their gratitude via the ballot box thanking a leader who stoked the fires and questioned institutions so that Filipinos are on an equal platform to rise above the way the Church, oligarchs and media have treated them for decades and generations. It took a Duterte to wake Filipinos from their amazement and cheer on a highlander who dared what controlled the Filipinos decades ago.
The tandem is a runaway because there isn’t a single powerful medium that can brainwash everyone into a narrative that supports its own candidates. It’s a runaway because of people coming out and showing up in trailers and meetings. ABS-CBN is the largest political party in the city, post-EDSA. Falling on their grace, the national contenders get the traction they need to propel them to victory. The May 2022 election cycle will be the first without ABS-CBN influencing voters. Today, social media is king and citizens are pushing applicants to others online, now becoming the influencer rather than mainstream media.
From the five years and six months of the Duterte-Robredo tenure, we have learned and now value the importance of having a president and a vice president who can work together, collaborate with each other and promote a common national agenda. Giving the vice-president a position in the cabinet means ensuring that practical training and the sharing of knowledge become an assurance of continuity, of a future that is neither disruptive nor destructive; of a partner who does not go into international forums to shoot his nation in front of the altar of intruders and power actors just so that the individual is presented as the perfect future of leadership.
Continuity is very important if we are to achieve income status. Continuity refers to both the soft and the hard of nation building. Health and education are now universal. Poverty reduction focuses on Mindanao. Fiscal, fiscal and monetary policies are all intimately linked to our economy, which is mainly made up of MSMEs and the ten or so large families who control our axes of growth. One concern that the Marcos-Duterte tandem will face is the cost of electricity. We cannot restart if we remain the country with the most expensive electricity tariffs in Asia. Continuity lies in #Ambisyon 2040 and the recently launched #Pagtanaw 2050, which is a product of the Philippines’ forward planning innovation.
#Pagtanaw 2050 is the first DoST-funded interdisciplinary and transdisciplinary project on Philippine-focused Science, Technology and Innovation (STI) Foresight and Strategic Planning, which suggests important drivers of change and provides information and thoughts on plausible pathways for STI development that will impact the aspirations of the Filipino people. The main objective is “to chart a strategic path to anticipate the factors that will influence the development of the science capital of the Philippines in the years leading up to 2050”.
Continuity also consists of improving the improved front-line services as well as the Build, Build, Build program which must be maintained for the country to be competitive. Reforms will need to be continued in terms of spectrum as well as telecommunications so that Filipinos benefit from their strengths and implement the lessons of the pandemic, whether in terms of economy, education, health and governance.
Transition work is also essential during the campaign period. A lead should be working behind the campaign team so that the cabinet is trained and monitored to ensure that the winning team will have a sense of teamwork on the line until the official inauguration. Part of the transition job is not filling the positions and giving the next administration carte blanche to do so. Only PFVR did so during the transition. It is important to set up the winner’s team so that the platform can be easily deployed from day one.
Today’s environment is very different from PFVR to PRRD. Today, the pre-campaign is already pointing to a certain end that only a crisis worse than that launched by the PRRD to the candidate BBM can derail it. The 90 day campaign period will be swift and it will be a battle of discipline to stick to the message. We are entering the phase where platforms will take center stage and candidates will lay out their plans on how best to respond to the challenges of the times. Ultimately, candidates will be asked why are you running for public office and why should voters vote for you? Obviously, solid take out is essential for voters to remember you.